Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation

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TY  - JOUR
  - Book Reviews
  - Foley, AM,Leahy, PG,Marvuglia, A,McKeogh, EJ
  - 2012
  - January
  - Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation
  - Validated
  - 1
  - ()
  - Meteorology Numerical weather prediction Probabilistic forecasting Wind integration wind power forecasting SHORT-TERM PREDICTION SPEED PREDICTION SPATIAL CORRELATION ENERGY MODELS VERIFICATION INTEGRATION ALGORITHMS FRAMEWORK TERRAIN
  - Wind power generation differs from conventional thermal generation due to the stochastic nature of wind. Thus wind power forecasting plays a key role in dealing with the challenges of balancing supply and demand in any electricity system, given the uncertainty associated with the wind farm power output. Accurate wind power forecasting reduces the need for additional balancing energy and reserve power to integrate wind power. Wind power forecasting tools enable better dispatch, scheduling and unit commitment of thermal generators, hydro plant and energy storage plant and more competitive market trading as wind power ramps up and down on the grid. This paper presents an in-depth review of the current methods and advances in wind power forecasting and prediction. Firstly, numerical wind prediction methods from global to local scales, ensemble forecasting, upscaling and downscaling processes are discussed. Next the statistical and machine learning approach methods are detailed. Then the techniques used for benchmarking and uncertainty analysis of forecasts are overviewed, and the performance of various approaches over different forecast time horizons is examined. Finally, current research activities, challenges and potential future developments are appraised. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  - 1
  - 8
  - DOI 10.1016/j.renene.2011.05.033
DA  - 2012/01
ER  - 
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   = {Book Reviews},
   = {Foley,  AM and Leahy,  PG and Marvuglia,  A and McKeogh,  EJ },
   = {2012},
   = {January},
   = {Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation},
   = {Validated},
   = {1},
   = {()},
   = {Meteorology Numerical weather prediction Probabilistic forecasting Wind integration wind power forecasting SHORT-TERM PREDICTION SPEED PREDICTION SPATIAL CORRELATION ENERGY MODELS VERIFICATION INTEGRATION ALGORITHMS FRAMEWORK TERRAIN},
   = {{Wind power generation differs from conventional thermal generation due to the stochastic nature of wind. Thus wind power forecasting plays a key role in dealing with the challenges of balancing supply and demand in any electricity system, given the uncertainty associated with the wind farm power output. Accurate wind power forecasting reduces the need for additional balancing energy and reserve power to integrate wind power. Wind power forecasting tools enable better dispatch, scheduling and unit commitment of thermal generators, hydro plant and energy storage plant and more competitive market trading as wind power ramps up and down on the grid. This paper presents an in-depth review of the current methods and advances in wind power forecasting and prediction. Firstly, numerical wind prediction methods from global to local scales, ensemble forecasting, upscaling and downscaling processes are discussed. Next the statistical and machine learning approach methods are detailed. Then the techniques used for benchmarking and uncertainty analysis of forecasts are overviewed, and the performance of various approaches over different forecast time horizons is examined. Finally, current research activities, challenges and potential future developments are appraised. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}},
  pages = {1--8},
   = {DOI 10.1016/j.renene.2011.05.033},
  source = {IRIS}
}
OTHER_PUB_TYPEBook Reviews
AUTHORSFoley, AM,Leahy, PG,Marvuglia, A,McKeogh, EJ
YEAR2012
MONTHJanuary
TITLECurrent methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation
RESEARCHER_ROLE
STATUSValidated
PEER_REVIEW1
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SEARCH_KEYWORDMeteorology Numerical weather prediction Probabilistic forecasting Wind integration wind power forecasting SHORT-TERM PREDICTION SPEED PREDICTION SPATIAL CORRELATION ENERGY MODELS VERIFICATION INTEGRATION ALGORITHMS FRAMEWORK TERRAIN
REFERENCE
ABSTRACTWind power generation differs from conventional thermal generation due to the stochastic nature of wind. Thus wind power forecasting plays a key role in dealing with the challenges of balancing supply and demand in any electricity system, given the uncertainty associated with the wind farm power output. Accurate wind power forecasting reduces the need for additional balancing energy and reserve power to integrate wind power. Wind power forecasting tools enable better dispatch, scheduling and unit commitment of thermal generators, hydro plant and energy storage plant and more competitive market trading as wind power ramps up and down on the grid. This paper presents an in-depth review of the current methods and advances in wind power forecasting and prediction. Firstly, numerical wind prediction methods from global to local scales, ensemble forecasting, upscaling and downscaling processes are discussed. Next the statistical and machine learning approach methods are detailed. Then the techniques used for benchmarking and uncertainty analysis of forecasts are overviewed, and the performance of various approaches over different forecast time horizons is examined. Finally, current research activities, challenges and potential future developments are appraised. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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START_PAGE1
END_PAGE8
DOI_LINKDOI 10.1016/j.renene.2011.05.033
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